Bitcoin retreats from record high amid analyst warnings of 20% market correction

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IntoTheBlock’s head of analysis cautions that the market is exhibiting indicators of ‘being overheated,’ citing escalating leverage in each centralized and decentralized finance sectors.

With Bitcoin’s (BTC) worth retracing from its peak and dipping beneath $69,000, analysts at IntoTheBlock warn of the market exhibiting indicators of “being overheated,” sparking worries of a possible correction.

In an X post on Mar. 15, Lucas Outumuro, head of analysis at IntoTheBlock, addressed the rising leverage in each decentralized finance (defi) and centralized finance (cefi) markets, indicating a looming adjustment.

“Not solely are meme tokens rocketing left to proper, however the quantity of leverage behind massive cap belongings has additionally rapidly accelerated. That is evident in derivatives markets the place borrow prices to go lengthy have reached their highest since 2021.”

Lucas Outumuro

On centralized exchanges funding charges have “abnormally excessive” ranges, Outumuro says, including that regardless that exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows might proceed carrying spot costs for the second, the overly bullish positioning in derivatives “posts a warning signal for the market.”

Furthermore, the surge in leverage extends past centralized exchanges to defi platforms. The mixture debt issued by means of Aave v3 on Ethereum has greater than doubled year-to-date, Outumuro famous.

The analyst warns of a possible “Nice Unwinding” within the crypto market, anticipating a 20% correction “as the quantity of leverage within the system will get reset.” Whereas the precise timing of such a correction stays unsure, the escalating borrow prices function a cautionary sign for crypto buyers to train prudence of their buying and selling methods, IntoTheBlock’s head of analysis famous. As of press time, Bitcoin is buying and selling at $67,819, in response to CoinGecko knowledge.

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